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In-depth report | trapped

Publisher:DTS   Release time:2018-09-04

      



   Since the beginning of this year, the restrictions on diesel vehicles throughout the country have been introduced. First, all ports in the Bohai Rim have completely banned diesel vehicles from transporting coal; followed by some cities to restrict access to urban areas or cancel the issuance of freight vehicles into the city, restricting the passage of diesel vehicles; The vehicle must be equipped with a particulate trap (DPF), otherwise it will not be inspected; or the diesel vehicles that are far below the service life will be forcibly eliminated and scrapped, causing the truck drivers to complain.


  On the 9th, the Vice Minister of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology Xin Guobin publicly announced that China has begun to study the timetable for the ban on the sale of traditional fuel vehicles. The announcement of this news, like a blockbuster exploding quickly, has once again caused panic in the diesel industry, which has already been ruined.

   In the current situation where diesel vehicles frequently encounter "red lights", where should the truck drivers who make a living make a living go? The user's confusion and wait and see, is the diesel car sales in a dilemma? And will the entire vehicle and parts companies that have invested a lot of money and energy to meet the emission upgrades be in a mess? If the diesel car is "killed to death", how should the heavy-duty car six standards go?

When the ban is banned, where is the truck driver's way out?

   Unrealistic, a bit contradictory!” Hao Chunfeng, a truck driver from Hebei, runs a transportation company with 9 natural gas vehicles and 12 diesel vehicles. He travels between Hefei and Tianjin Port all the year round to transport coal and steelmaking materials. . He told the reporter of China Auto News that the news that Tianjin Port completely banned the transportation of coal from diesel trucks had just caused a great panic in the driver circle because many people just bought a new car before the notice was released. A car of three or four hundred thousand yuan, if the business can not do, it is a terrible thing! ”

   In Hao Chunfeng's view, although the original intention of the limit line is for environmental protection, the national five standard diesel car does not belong to the yellow standard car, and it is still the cleanest product at this stage, and should not be included in the scope of restrictions. "Moreover, you have to give the diesel car a living path. The national standard vehicle can be licensed but it is limited. It is too much to say," he said.


   Similarly, he was deeply helpless about the policy of restricting the line. Liu Jiasheng, the national car owner of Shangqiu, Henan. When he saw him, he was anxiously waiting for the owner to “empty” the edamame in his car in the wholesale market of agricultural and sideline products. Liu Jiasheng, who is mainly engaged in the transportation of fruits and vegetables, said that Every time he transports the goods to his destination, his trailer becomes a temporary warehouse for the owner. Only when the goods are sold out, can he find a return trip. This period of time will last for about a week. If you catch up with the off-season, the waiting time will be longer. "The original freight rate is low. Now, if you ran down, you will not only make money, but you will often lose money, and you will have to pay for the store and dinner every day during the waiting period."

   Although the situation is so difficult, Liu Jiasheng still insists. "If you don't insist on doing it, the car has been bought for more than three years. The loan has not been returned yet. If you sell the car now, you will definitely lose it. Besides, it has been driving for almost half a lifetime. If you go out to work now, really I don't know what to do." However, the frequent introduction of the national three-car limit policy has made the already tired Liu Jiasheng feel even worse. "I have heard that all localities have started to limit the traffic in these days. I am very worried and afraid to run during the day. If I get caught, I will be in trouble. Do you say that this is not forcing the country to scrap?" he said.


   As for where to go, Li Yongming, a truck driver from Inner Mongolia, has put his car at home and entered the logistics company to start a full-time driver. He told reporters that many drivers in the team have the same situation as him. They can only hold low monthly wages and silently suffer the loss of idle vehicles. "Because of various restrictions, it is too difficult to do it yourself."


 should not demonize the diesel car, scientific and rational pollution control is the key



    "The port and some cities are restricted to diesel vehicles. The reason is quite clear and consistent: diesel exhaust emissions are seriously exceeded, and restrictions on environmental protection are made, but this 'one size fits all' approach is obviously not scientific enough, and it is not reasonable enough." Li Yongchang, a special expert of the Engineering Society, said that it is quite difficult to identify whether the diesel vehicle is up to standard or not, and it is quite difficult to operate. The "one size fits all" process is simple, but the result is: in order not to let go of a problem The car, would rather "injure" a group of vehicles.

  In Li Yongchang's view, there is no reason to limit the vehicles that meet local emission standards. If they are not indiscriminate, they will not only bring negative impacts on drivers' choices, but also bring anxiety and confusion to the whole vehicle and parts companies. It will affect the confidence and enthusiasm of enterprises for the promotion of diesel engine emission reduction work. "More importantly, the unqualified treatment of the standard diesel vehicles will lead to the lack of respect for the authority and seriousness of the standards, which will affect the healthy development of the entire industry," he said.

   In fact, the thermal efficiency of diesel engines is much higher than that of gasoline engines and gas engines. Therefore, it is imperative to strengthen the supervision of diesel vehicle emissions, improve monitoring methods and means, improve monitoring accuracy, consistency and monitoring efficiency. At the same time, vehicle manufacturers It is also necessary to closely cooperate with the parts and components enterprises, resolutely put an end to the occurrence of fraudulent incidents, and steadily produce vehicles that can withstand the test of running tests." For the restrictions, Li Yongchang believes that the unwise move of restricting the restrictions should be spread. Don't demonize the diesel car.

   Wei Anli, deputy secretary-general of the China Internal Combustion Engine Industry Association, believes that the pressure on pollution control and sewage disposal is increasing. It is understandable that local governments have introduced some strong pollution control policies in some areas, but the key is whether these policies are reasonable and sustainable. And can promote the development and progress of national industry.


    "For example, Shandong and other places require the addition of DPF to the country's three diesel vehicles, which is not considered. Because the DPF device is required to function, the electronic control unit (ECU) is required to control the active regeneration and passive regeneration of the DPF. A large part of the country's three cars do not use the high-pressure common rail system, so how can we ensure the emission reduction effect?" Wei Anli said that this almost meaningless installation will only bring a lot of unnecessary investment, environmental protection, the industry Technological progress will not bring positive effects. “The important member of the first generation of the Chinese Communist Party’s leadership group, Ren Bishi, said at the Northwest High-Level Association in 1944 that 'policy waste' is more harmful and more harmful than other wastes to economic construction. We must take For the ring," he said.

   The former Minister of Machinery Industry He Guangyuan also bluntly stated that the domestic truck restriction policy was swayed by some European countries! "The huge output and production capacity of the internal combustion engine industry is difficult to be eliminated. The practice of banned fuel vehicles in some European countries represented by Denmark is somewhat radical and unrealistic, and China is also affected by this. Some initiatives are suspected of following suit. He Guangyuan pointed out that emissions upgrading should be carried out step by step, and the control of diesel vehicles cannot be "one size fits all". Technological progress must have a global planning and progressive process. It is necessary to consider the situation of users and enterprises, as well as the state of the country's energy. The formulation of diesel vehicle control policies must adhere to a comprehensive, scientific and realistic attitude.


The policy is coming too fast. The company is deeply under pressure and entanglement.


   "A series of restrictive policies not only reduced the living space of truck drivers, but also spurred our research and development enthusiasm." Li Feng (pseudonym), a person in charge of a well-known engine company, reluctantly said that in the process of emission upgrade, the company paid a lot The manpower, material resources and financial resources, but after the introduction of the ban and restrictive policies, the future development of diesel vehicles has been cast a shadow, and the company has become a little confused and overwhelmed. "Can our previous investment be recovered? Should we still have to pay for the next step of research and development? In fact, we can understand the starting point of environmental protection, but we must also consider the actual situation of the production enterprise, and the investment of tens of millions of yuan can be It’s not a child’s play.” Li Feng told reporters that diesel engine companies are now under great pressure, and what makes them even more depressed is that the road to future development is full of uncertainty.

  "This is indeed true. Recently, both domestic and foreign countries have issued signals that are unfavorable to traditional diesel vehicles, such as research and development of a schedule for banned traditional fuel vehicles, and the introduction of pure electric heavy trucks in 2020, especially in various domestic restrictions. Pressing the development space of diesel vehicles. For the whole vehicle enterprise, if the future is full of too many variables, we can only stop to wait and see or change the development ideas. When the policy is clear, we will carry out overall planning and product development. A person in charge of a major heavy truck brand said.

   In the face of related bans and restrictions, many corporate leaders have expressed this helpless feeling to reporters. Not only that, but the speed and method of upgrading emission standards also put pressure on companies.


   "Now, the implementation time of the country 6 has been basically determined. From the perspective of the emission upgrading cycle, the time interval for the upgrade of the country to the sixth country is only three years. This will result in the company not making a profit in the fifth phase of the country, and it will have to prepare for the country. Moreover, we must respond to different policy requirements in different regions. Once the speed is slow, it may be overtaken by other companies.” The relevant person in charge of Nanyue Electronic Control (Hengyang) Industrial Technology Co., Ltd. said that the rapid advancement of emission upgrades has already made many Enterprises are somewhat at a loss, and if they add the impact of local restrictions, it is really worse.


   “In fact, instead of rapidly upgrading emission regulations, it is better to have the vehicle in place, so the effect of reducing emissions may be better.” The person in charge said that the emission policy is continuously upgraded in order to improve environmental protection, but if In the case of non-compliance and non-standard use of vehicles, pollution will become more serious. This must be truly valued in the industry. He also pointed out that the public opinion orientation brought by the policy will have a great impact on the development of the industry. Although the diesel vehicles that meet the emission regulations are clean and environmentally friendly, the ban and restrictive policies will not only allow users to respect the diesel vehicles. It also caused the public to have some kind of prejudice against it.


Adjust marketing strategy


    The dealer has been preparing for the rainy day

   “The policy of limiting the line has been heard, and we will adjust the marketing strategy according to the policy.”

   "At the moment we have no similar restrictions, so we have no influence on us for the time being."

    In the interview with dealers, similar feedback is not rare. In the face of diesel vehicle restrictions, the dealer's response is relatively calm compared to the user and the manufacturer.

   However, calmness does not mean that there is no preparation. "The development of new energy vehicles is the trend of the times, and we are gradually transforming." "The scope of our car sales has included clean energy vehicles such as gas vehicles." "We will pay close attention to the latest policies, so that we can prepare for the response in a timely manner." The bigger impact has not yet appeared, but the dealers have already made plans for the future.

   “Resellers can adjust marketing strategies according to policies, but the market is ultimately dominated by users.” Li Gang, general manager of Shanghai Yuxin Auto Sales & Service Co., Ltd. told reporters that although the policy first affects users, dealers are also pressured. It takes more energy and time to study the impact of relevant policies, and actively communicate with manufacturers and users.

   “Not only that, the policy has brought about an increase in the cost of car purchases, which will inevitably affect the demand of the truck market.” For dealers who have implemented restrictions on the policy area, the impact of the policy has given them a personal experience. Wang Yang (a pseudonym), a commercial vehicle dealer in Shenzhen, said that Shenzhen requires that on January 1, 2018, the new diesel box truck must be equipped with a DPF device before it can be used. "We probably calculated it, plus After installing the device, the user's purchase cost will increase by 20,000 to 30,000 yuan, and the DPF equipment will be dismantled for maintenance every 3,000 kilometers or so. The maintenance time is about one day, and the cost is estimated to be 1,000 yuan. According to the mileage of a car, a car needs to be maintained about 2~3 times a month, and at least 2~3 days of car time is lost. In summary, the cost of cost and loss adds up to a small amount of money."

   "In fact, not only the problem of increasing the cost of new cars, users will also consider the handling of used cars when buying cars." Wang Yang said that the DPF-equipped models are designed to respond to the transitional products of the National Sixth Standard. If the post-National Six standards are implemented, the value of these vehicles in the second-hand market will be greatly reduced. For the user, it is also a big loss. Therefore, after the release of the restricted line policy, the purchasing power of users decreased, and most of them waited.

   Yan Nan, general manager of Ningbo Liandong Automobile Sales and Service Co., Ltd. believes that the development of new energy vehicles is a general trend, and switching is only a matter of time. Therefore, for dealers, they must be very concerned about relevant policies, so that they can be laid out in advance and actively transformed.


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